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Agroton begins 134 ths ha harvest

Agroton begins 134 ths ha harvest

6 July 2010

Agroton (FSE: A2TA GR) started harvesting its 134 ths ha of planted farmland in Luhansk and Kharkiv regions. The company forecasts a harvest of 328.3 ths mt of crops or +38.7% above last year’s result. The major collection increase is expected in corn, rape and barley, estimated by the management at 69 ths mt (+288% yoy), 8.2 ths mt (+525% yoy) and 5.5 ths mt (+135% yoy) respectively. Ruslan Patlavskyy: Based on our estimates, management forecasts imply a substantial increase in crop yields (see table below), in particular for corn by 109% yoy to 6.1 mt/ha vs. 4.0 mt/ha average in Ukraine in 2009. This, as well as a 86% yoy increase in area sowed with corn to 11.4 ths ha should boost the share of corn in the new harvest by 13 pp yoy to 20.5%, which, in our view, drives the total planned harvest volume by 6% above our forecast of 308.9 ths mt.

Harvest,mt       2009/10E  2008/09 Chg yoy,%
—————————————
Sunflower        106,392   76,491     39.1%
Wheat             142,254  136,143      4.5%
Corn                  68,946   17,769    288.0%
Rapeseed             8,200    1,313    524.5%
Barley                  5,523    2,354    134.6%
Sorghum            2,451        –             n.a.
Rye                   2,191      2,507        -12.6%
Oats                  433          90            381.1%
Total                  336,390  236,667     42.1%
—————————————

Sown area,ha      2009/10E  2008/09  Chg yoy,%
———————————————
Sunflower            54,857   47,619      15.2%
Winter wheat        43,397   50,228     -13.6%
Corn                   11,346    6,106      85.8%
Winter rapeseed    6,995    1,126     521.2%
Winter barley        2,137      835     155.9%
Sorghum              1,763        –       n.a.
Winter rye             626    1,358     -53.9%
Oats                     149      100      49.0%
Feed crops (corn)  3,791   12,302     -69.2%
Fallow                  9,014   14,225     -36.6%
———————————————
Total                134,075  133,899       0.1%

Yields,mt/ha     2009/10E  2008/09  Chg yoy,%
———————————————
Sunflower             1.94     1.61      20.7%
Winter wheat        3.28     2.71      20.9%
Corn                    6.08     2.91     108.8%
Winter rapeseed   1.17     1.17       0.5%
Winter barley       2.58     2.82      -8.3%
Sorghum             1.39        –       n.a.
Winter rye           3.50     1.85      89.6%
Oats                    2.91     0.90     222.9%
———————————————

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