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CPI up 1.1% mom, PPI down 1.8% mom in September

CPI up 1.1% mom, PPI down 1.8% mom in September

7 October 2008

Ukrainian consumer prices rose by 1.1% (16.1% YTD) mom in September, slightly higher than our forecast of 1.0% mom, the State Statistics Committee announced yesterday. Annualized CPI growth totaled 24.6%. The main contributors to the consumer price growth were food and beverages (+0.3% mom) and housing & communal services (+3.8% mom). Producer prices fell down 1.8% mom (+42.7% yoy), mainly due to the decrease in oil and steel prices. Andrii Parkhomenko: As we expected, consumer inflation growth is accelerating this autumn. We forecast that in the coming months, CPI growth will range from 1.1% to 1.9% and will stand at 21.0% yoy by yearend. We also retain our PPI forecast at 40.0% yoy, as we do not see feasible reasons for a rise in oil prices but believe that steel prices will partially recover over the last quarter.

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