Latest poll confirms Ukraine parliamentary election trends

The latest poll on
the 2019 parliamentary elections in Ukraine released on May 22, which was
conducted by the Rating Sociological Group, reflected the trends revealed by
other polls in recent months. Namely, the Fatherland party led by former PM
and political prisoner
Yulia Tymoshenko commands the lead, the president’s Solidarity party is
struggling and the Russian-oriented parties enjoy significant support. Of those
planning to vote, 13% of votes are for populist Fatherland, 7% for the
reform-oriented Civic Position, 7% for Solidarity, 7% for the Russian-oriented
Opposition Bloc, 7% for the populist Radical Party, 6% for the Russian-oriented
For Life party, and 6% for the reform-oriented Self-Reliance party. Pro-EU
parties have 40% of the vote, compared to 13% for the Russian-oriented.

The poll was
conducted between March 15 and 31 involving 2,400 respondents.  Although
the survey involved several dozen other questions, the International Republican
Institute that financed it didn’t request a poll for the presidential election
scheduled for March 2019, a Rating representative informed Concorde Capital.
The parliamentary vote is scheduled for October 2019.

Zenon Zawada: Although the polls have stabilized
recently, we expect sharp changes in the months leading up to the presidential
elections. Many dramatic events and revelations will occur, likely involving
personal smears and corruption scandals, and likely involving Russia and its
proxies in Ukraine. As we have said, the Ukrainian elections are wide open and
any one candidate or party can suddenly take the lead.