Ukraine FOB prices for the types of iron and steel
products exported by Metinvest (METINV), Ukraine’s largest producer, were
mostly stable during June 4 – 11, according to Metal Expert, an industry
consultancy.
Pig iron prices (Metal Expert’s FOB Black Sea
assessment for a group of countries that includes Ukraine) were unchanged w/w
at USD 635/t on June 11, 72% above their 3Q20 high of USD 370/t on Sept. 18.
Billet prices were flat w/w at USD 640/t on June 11,
54% above their 3Q20 high of USD 415/t on Sept. 11.
Slab prices were stable w/w at USD 930/t on June 11,
100% above their 3Q20 high of USD 465/t on Sept. 11.
HRC prices slid 1% w/w to USD 1,020/t on June 11, 103%
above their 3Q20 high of USD 503/t on Sept. 11.
The prices provided by Metal Expert are sophisticated
estimates, but they are not necessarily the same as the prices realized by
Metinvest for its specific products.
Dmytro Khoroshun: Steel
prices will be volatile in the short-term and will decrease in mid-term, we
continue to expect.
Metinvest’s monthly EBITDA will likely amount to at
least USD 400-500 mln in 2Q21 because of strong steel and iron ore prices.
We maintain our neutral view on METINV bonds.