Ukraine FOB prices for the types of iron and steel
products exported by Metinvest (METINV), Ukraine’s largest producer, dropped
again during Dec. 31 – Jan. 7, according to Metal Expert, an industry
consultancy.
Billet prices were flat w/w at USD 588/t on Jan. 7,
20% below their 2Q21 high of USD 735/t on May 14.
Slab prices remained at USD 620/t on Jan. 7, 35% below
their 2Q21 high of USD 950/t on May 28.
HRC prices were unchanged w/w at USD 775/t on Jan. 7,
29% below their 2Q21 high of USD 1,095/t on May 21.
Metal Expert did not provide an update for pig iron
prices (Metal Expert’s FOB Black Sea assessment for a group of countries that
includes Ukraine), which stood at USD 503/t on Dec. 31, 21% below their 2Q21
high of USD 635/t on June 18.
Dmytro Khoroshun: Ukraine FOB
steel prices will drop further in the next few months, we expect.
Potential stimulus moves from China might support the
markets if directed in part toward steel-consuming industries and if net steel
exports from China do not increase.
Metinvest’s monthly EBITDA will likely amount to
USD 350-550 mln in 4Q21 because of the recent drops in steel and iron ore
prices.